Mythbusting “HTML 5 Did Not Kill Flash”

So, i was thinking.. the Flash Player version number in the “HTML 5 Did Not Kill Flash” comic strip (258.1) … PLAUSIBLE?

It is obvious that we deal with Jean-Luc Picard, captain of the Starship USS Enterprise NCC-1701-D, which places the scene in the Star Trek TNG series. According to Wikipedia, Star Trek TNG is set in the 24th century from the year 2364 through 2370.

Today: 1285956121684 (Fri Oct 1 15:02:01 GMT-0300 2010)
Star Trek TNG start: 12433402800000 (Wed Jan 1 00:00:00 GMT-0300 2364)
Star Trek TNG end: 12654327600000 (Fri Jan 1 00:00:00 GMT-0300 2371)
Assumed 18 months release cycle, in ms: 47304000000
Release cycles until Star Trek start:
   12433402800000 - 1285956121684 = 11147446678316
   11147446678316 / 47304000000 = 236
   236 + 10 = 246
Release cycles until Star Trek end:
   12654327600000 - 1285956121684 = 11368371478316
   11368371478316 / 47304000000 = 240
   240 + 10 = 250

So assuming a strict 18 month release cycle, this places version 258.1 just about a decade or so after Star Trek TNG (versions 246-250) ends. If we further assume that new technologies will emerge in the coming 350 years that speed up release cycles a bit, i think we can safely say that Flash Player version 258.1 is indeed plausible.

Hypothetically speaking…

2 Responses to “Mythbusting “HTML 5 Did Not Kill Flash””

  1. David R Says:

    Don’t forget we’re already on version 10.1. So there are only 248 versions between now and then, which puts it right in the middle of your range (246-250)

  2. Claus Wahlers Says:

    David, in the calculation i already took care of the 10 version offset.. i think. heh

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