Mythbusting “HTML 5 Did Not Kill Flash”

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So, i was thinking.. the Flash Player version number in the “HTML 5 Did Not Kill Flash” comic strip (258.1) … PLAUSIBLE?

It is obvious that we deal with Jean-Luc Picard, captain of the Starship USS Enterprise NCC-1701-D, which places the scene in the Star Trek TNG series. According to Wikipedia, Star Trek TNG is set in the 24th century from the year 2364 through 2370.

Today: 1285956121684 (Fri Oct 1 15:02:01 GMT-0300 2010)
Star Trek TNG start: 12433402800000 (Wed Jan 1 00:00:00 GMT-0300 2364)
Star Trek TNG end: 12654327600000 (Fri Jan 1 00:00:00 GMT-0300 2371)
Assumed 18 months release cycle, in ms: 47304000000
Release cycles until Star Trek start:
   12433402800000 - 1285956121684 = 11147446678316
   11147446678316 / 47304000000 = 236
   236 + 10 = 246
Release cycles until Star Trek end:
   12654327600000 - 1285956121684 = 11368371478316
   11368371478316 / 47304000000 = 240
   240 + 10 = 250

So assuming a strict 18 month release cycle, this places version 258.1 just about a decade or so after Star Trek TNG (versions 246-250) ends. If we further assume that new technologies will emerge in the coming 350 years that speed up release cycles a bit, i think we can safely say that Flash Player version 258.1 is indeed plausible.

Hypothetically speaking…

2 thoughts on “Mythbusting “HTML 5 Did Not Kill Flash””

  1. Don’t forget we’re already on version 10.1. So there are only 248 versions between now and then, which puts it right in the middle of your range (246-250)

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